Introducing NSW liquor controls state-wide could reduce acute alcohol harms by 20%

CASE STUDY: A new dynamic simulation model provides fascinating insights into the policies and combinations of policies that will have the greatest beneficial effects.

The NSW liquor reforms have achieved what the state government wanted in Sydney’s CBD and Kings Cross — safer, quieter and cleaner precincts where fewer people are being assaulted, according to High Court judge Ian Callinan’s independent review.

But as the NSW government ponders its response, what does the NSW experience really teach us about alcohol control? How do we know whether the transformation of Sydney’s streets came about from a drop in alcohol consumption, or simply because people were taking their parties elsewhere? Was it the 1.30am lockouts or the 3am last drinks that made the most difference? And what does all this mean for the far more significant problem of chronic alcohol abuse and its links to cancer, heart disease, stroke and liver cirrhosis?

“We can quantify the trade-offs between different combinations of interventions, which could help inform an effective strategy … ”

Today, the early results are released from a new tool that has, for the first time, enabled us to tease out the effects of the component parts of the NSW liquor reforms.

Developed by The Australian Prevention Partnership Centre, a national initiative that conducts research in partnership with policy makers to increase the uptake of evidence in practice, the tool estimates what the impacts of the reforms would be if they were rolled out across the state. Unlike any other sort of modelling currently being done in Australia, it enables policy makers to tinker with each intervention to see how it would affect the whole.

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  • michael

    good work. congratulations. a question if i may? does your simulation model shed any light on whether reduction in violent incidents is absolute or is result of spillover to areas not regulated?